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Lower growth outlook

Increasingly hawkish central banks and consumption hit by higher energy and food prices have led to the fear of recession rising significantly. At the same time, economic growth is higher than the trend growth and the labour market is strong.

The fear of inflation has returned

The financial markets are again focusing on their fears of high inflation and restrictive monetary policy measures. This is despite the unlikelihood of peace negotiations relating to the war in Ukraine.

The stock markets recouped their losses

Despite more than a month of war in Europe, most financial markets have stabilised. At the same time, the yield curve has inverted, which in the past has been an indicator of a recession.

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